🐝ðŸĶĒ Brentford vs Swansea: Goals on the horizon as the Bees chase a deficit in the playoff semifinals
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🐝ðŸĶĒ Brentford vs Swansea: Goals on the horizon as the Bees chase a deficit in the playoff semifinals

With 56% of all playoff semifinal second legs since 2010 seeing both sides score, we're eyeing the same outcome tonight with Brentford chasing a 1-0 deficit.

📝 Quick preview & tip

Andre Ayew's brilliant turn and finish more than atoned for his penalty miss to give the Swans a precious first-leg lead to take with them to Griffin Park. Brentford's defeat means that their post-resumption win rate reduced to 70% (W7, L3). Home advantage could be key though, with four of those seven wins producing a winning margin of two or more goals. 56% of playoff semifinal second legs this decade have seen both sides score and we're backing that outcome again as Brentford chase it and aim to overturn a deficit.

🔑 Key betting facts

  • Four of the five prior Championship head to heads have seen the first half won/lost by a two-goal margin.
  • Only Leeds and West Brom collected more points on their travels than Swansea (W8-D11-L4) although the Swans suffered losses in three of their four trips to top-six rivals (W1-D1-L3). 
  • Brentford has scored in 15 of their past 17 games with attacking trio of Bryan Mbeumo, Ollie Watkins and Said Benrahma notching 57 (72%) of their 79-goal tally. 

  • Thomas Frank's Brentford team has scored twice or more in 11 of 23 Griffin Park games this season.
  • Swansea's away days in the regular season averaged 2.83 goals per game.
  • Three of Swansea’s last four games have produced a red card either way, including the first leg.
  • Four of André Ayew's last five goals for Swansea have come from the spot in matches yielding over 2.5 goals.

✅ Futaa Best Bet: Back Brentford to win & BTTS: yes

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