With 56% of all playoff semifinal second legs since 2010 seeing both sides score, we're eyeing the same outcome tonight with Brentford chasing a 1-0 deficit.
📝 Quick preview & tip
Andre Ayew's brilliant turn and finish more than atoned for his penalty miss to give the Swans a precious first-leg lead to take with them to Griffin Park. Brentford's defeat means that their post-resumption win rate reduced to 70% (W7, L3). Home advantage could be key though, with four of those seven wins producing a winning margin of two or more goals. 56% of playoff semifinal second legs this decade have seen both sides score and we're backing that outcome again as Brentford chase it and aim to overturn a deficit.
🔑 Key betting facts
- Four of the five prior Championship head to heads have seen the first half won/lost by a two-goal margin.
- Only Leeds and West Brom collected more points on their travels than Swansea (W8-D11-L4) although the Swans suffered losses in three of their four trips to top-six rivals (W1-D1-L3).
- Brentford has scored in 15 of their past 17 games with attacking trio of Bryan Mbeumo, Ollie Watkins and Said Benrahma notching 57 (72%) of their 79-goal tally.
- Thomas Frank's Brentford team has scored twice or more in 11 of 23 Griffin Park games this season.
- Swansea's away days in the regular season averaged 2.83 goals per game.
- Three of Swansea’s last four games have produced a red card either way, including the first leg.
- Four of André Ayew's last five goals for Swansea have come from the spot in matches yielding over 2.5 goals.
✅ Futaa Best Bet: Back Brentford to win & BTTS: yes